Yeah, I predict Sanders will soundly trounce the President in the debates. Here's why:
Bernie comes as advertised. You can disagree with every single policy proposal Sanders has, but if you think he's posturing or hiding some hidden agenda, you're just being partisan. Right or wrong, Bernie genuinely believes he has the right prescription for the country and will defend it more aggressively than people give him credit for. Just ask Tim Ryan and John Delaney.
So what that means is Trump would immediately have to debate differently than in 2016. Against Clinton, he got to sit back and watch Hillary word vomit a bunch of empty promises and reply as follows:
Worked like a champ against Clinton because we all knew that assessment is/was correct. Not the case with Bernie because he comes as advertised, so attacking his credibility is the wrong strategy...or at least the least effective.
If I'm on the Trump 2020 team, I'm hammering 3 points nonstop:
1. It's working and it needs to keep working.
2. The country cannot afford radical left wing tax and spending right now.
3. democrats will **** up on immigration, abortion, and guns
#1 is the only one he has to play defense on. But he has the markets and unemployment figures to support his premise and plenty of talking heads across the media will parrot it.
#2 is an easy sell to everyone over 40. Only Joe Biden would be immune to this line because he's not going to pivot left in the general, but he's not getting the nod anyway.
#3 These are the three tried and true bugaboos for the GOP. When they are getting their asses kicked in the news cycle, the conversation will
almost always shift to one of these 3 topics.
We'll see what they actually do, but I think this would be a solid approach for Trump to take on Sanders over and above the predictable red-baiting we'll hear.
If I'm on Bernie 2020, I stay on message no matter what Trump says. Nobody in Washington diagnoses the issue better than Bernie does so I have him stay on message and keep swatting away the republican talking points he's been swatting for the last 30 years. Trump is not going to come at Bernie with any sort of detailed talking point to try and get a "gotcha" like the media does. That's just not how Trump argues. You let the idiot spew whatever he's going to spew and stay on target. He's going to lob insults, he's going to try and derail the discussion, he's going to try and get a soundbyte for the base...But unless you have a "I wrote the damned bill" teed up for him, default disregard and stay focused on the voters.
We don't do this because we're scared to get in the mud with him, and we don't completely ignore the man (Our base loves meat too), but
the goal would be to take the election away from being a referendum on Trump. That's right, DNC strategists. You
DO NOT make this election a referendum on Trump. I'm betting the majority of the country is already Trump fatigued and wants to consider alternatives. Give them that. Give them something to vote FOR.
You make the campaign about how much a shitbag Donald Trump is and the country turns the channel because they do not need to be told how much of a shitbag Donald Trump is.
They already know. So give them something to chew on. Policy, policy, policy. How it should work, how we're paying for it, why it's the right thing to do, who does it help. And while they chew on that, you put America's Dad/Grandpa out there being his wholesome self. Next thing you know, the country is talking about whether or not we should do all this stuff instead of talking about how much we hate Donald Trump as President.
You do that between the convention and the first debate in a full court press. This is the tiny little window the press will give you to make your case to the country. After that, you're getting stress tested. So you walk into the debates with the country fully aware of who you are and what your intentions are as President with 2/3rds of the electorate (or more) already having made up their minds.
After that, it's all about getting people aboard the hype train.