2018 Storm Watch

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:40 am

:nono:
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:44 am

The waves have been really fun the last couple days. Keep it up, Atlantic! :birdiedoublegreen:
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:26 pm

It is getting real

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Rocker » Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:47 pm

I Lol’ed
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Mountaineer Buc » Tue Sep 11, 2018 1:53 pm

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:13 pm

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Grim Reaper » Tue Sep 11, 2018 4:11 pm

I wonder how many in the Carolinas have homeowner's insurance with Progressive.

I see an epic commercial in the making...
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Tue Sep 11, 2018 6:28 pm

Likely that Joyce will be forming soon in the western Carribean. This storm will track through the GOM towards Texas
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:37 am

Crocaneers wrote:
Crocaneers wrote:Flo has me watching ... not concerned... turning could be good .. yet someone may catch this one


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For our friends in the Carolinas and possibly Virginia eastern seaboard, late next week may not be a lot of fun


USC, this makes things a little more concerning in your state. The 5AM track has this thing camped and settling in SC for almost 2 days.

Hold on two your hats.

Get out if you can.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Wed Sep 12, 2018 7:33 am

Crocaneers wrote:
Crocaneers wrote:
For our friends in the Carolinas and possibly Virginia eastern seaboard, late next week may not be a lot of fun


USC, this makes things a little more concerning in your state. The 5AM track has this thing camped and settling in SC for almost 2 days.

Hold on two your hats.

Get out if you can.




Clemson has a home game Saturday at 3:30. I just looked, and they have kickoff forecast as mostly sunny, 87 degrees, with "light rain" and 4mph winds. :shrug:
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 8:05 am

Crocaneers wrote:
Crocaneers wrote:
For our friends in the Carolinas and possibly Virginia eastern seaboard, late next week may not be a lot of fun


USC, this makes things a little more concerning in your state. The 5AM track has this thing camped and settling in SC for almost 2 days.

Hold on two your hats.

Get out if you can.

Yep. This latest track looks much better for my neck of the woods, though.

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 8:13 am

This is a pretty awesome gadget...

https://www.windy.com/?2018-09-14-09,33.009,-77.377,7

You can move the bar forward to see the predicted future path at different points of time.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Sep 12, 2018 8:19 am

Slick look, but not sure of the accuracy. I get that we don't know, but that has it looping and coming back in through Savannah. I have not seen that model yet.

I'm sticking with NOAA
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 8:27 am

Crocaneers wrote:Slick look, but not sure of the accuracy. I get that we don't know, but that has it looping and coming back in through Savannah. I have not seen that model yet.

I'm sticking with NOAA

Yeah. Some people swear that the ECMWF model has proven to be the most accurate. It appears the model I posted above follows it. I guess we'll find out soon enough which is more accurate this time around, eh?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... =z500_mslp
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:20 pm

Crowded Atlantic. It's been since 2008 since we have had 4 named storms, and not sure how long since 5

Isaac could play fun if he gets to the gulf.


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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby PetePierson » Wed Sep 12, 2018 6:34 pm

You guys are worse than the imbeciles on the Weather Channel. You / they don't know ****.

Side note: Stephanie Abrams rack is phenomenal. Cat 5 Rack!
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 8:21 am

ECMWF still has it making landfall further south than other models, but they all are starting to tighten up now.

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:18 am

Platform 35 miles off NC Coast.

Live YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deG4Nxk ... e=youtu.be
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Mountaineer Buc » Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:26 am

Appalachia is not made to take on this amount of rain.

WV had a soul crushing flood in 2016 when it got 8-10 inches of rain in about 12 hours. They could get as much as 20 inches in the same timeframe this weekend. Even worse for North Carolina (obviously) who could get as much as 40 inches of rain tomorrow.

This is gonna be pretty bad.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:34 am

Mountaineer Buc wrote:Appalachia is not made to take on this amount of rain.

WV had a soul crushing flood in 2016 when it got 8-10 inches of rain in about 12 hours. They could get as much as 20 inches in the same timeframe this weekend. Even worse for North Carolina (obviously) who could get as much as 40 inches of rain tomorrow.

This is gonna be pretty bad.

Ditto on my side of the Blue Ridge. And when you take into account our area is already saturated from recent rains, this won't be good even if there is little wind involved.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:45 am

Buc2 wrote:
Mountaineer Buc wrote:Appalachia is not made to take on this amount of rain.

WV had a soul crushing flood in 2016 when it got 8-10 inches of rain in about 12 hours. They could get as much as 20 inches in the same timeframe this weekend. Even worse for North Carolina (obviously) who could get as much as 40 inches of rain tomorrow.

This is gonna be pretty bad.

Ditto on my side of the Blue Ridge. And when you take into account our area is already saturated from recent rains, this won't be good even if there is little wind involved.


yeah as much as it looks better, it doesn't look good. Florence will send a lot of rain more likely mid next week, and WV, Applachia, Blue Ridge, Shenendoah will all get tons of water and then send tons of water down stream.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Mountaineer Buc » Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:50 am

Buc2 wrote:
Mountaineer Buc wrote:Appalachia is not made to take on this amount of rain.

WV had a soul crushing flood in 2016 when it got 8-10 inches of rain in about 12 hours. They could get as much as 20 inches in the same timeframe this weekend. Even worse for North Carolina (obviously) who could get as much as 40 inches of rain tomorrow.

This is gonna be pretty bad.

Ditto on my side of the Blue Ridge. And when you take into account our area is already saturated from recent rains, this won't be good even if there is little wind involved.

Oh, yeah. Once that thing moves inland you're gonna see flooding from Myrtle Beach all the way up to Hagerstown.

You're in Blacksburg, right? I'd be real concerned if I were in your area. Go find a tall hill to sit on.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Thu Sep 13, 2018 11:30 am

MB, Buc2 is above Blacksburg in Lynchburg, which may even be worse. They have had lots of rain and bad flooding already, and this storm won't help either area.

My parents are in Blacksburg, and at 83, am a little concerned of washed out roads.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 11:49 am

Yep...I'm in Lynchburg. About 100 miles NE of Blacksburg.

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:23 pm

Looking at some live video shots on FB, shits already getting real on the outer banks.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:19 pm

For rbf

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Zarniwoop » Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:21 pm

Lol
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby NYBF » Thu Sep 13, 2018 6:28 pm

Buc2 wrote:For rbf

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I was in Kissimmee for Charley. We were supposed to be flying out that day, we were on our way to the airport when we heard on the radio they closed it. Back to the house. Problem was we locked it down and threw the little bit of food out.

My wife was pregnant, so roughing it wasn't really an option. Ran out to the 7-11 to see what I could scrounge up for her.

I was shocked. Whatever water, milk, or food (well, as far as 7-11 food goes) I wanted. But if you wanted cigarettes or beer, you were SOL. There was a guy on line in front of me with 5 little kids and the last 8 40s in the store. Nothing for them though.

That 7-11 experience was the most Florida **** I have ever seen first hand.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby terrytate » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:13 pm

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:40 am

NYBF wrote:I was in Kissimmee for Charley. We were supposed to be flying out that day, we were on our way to the airport when we heard on the radio they closed it. Back to the house. Problem was we locked it down and threw the little bit of food out.

My wife was pregnant, so roughing it wasn't really an option. Ran out to the 7-11 to see what I could scrounge up for her.

I was shocked. Whatever water, milk, or food (well, as far as 7-11 food goes) I wanted. But if you wanted cigarettes or beer, you were SOL. There was a guy on line in front of me with 5 little kids and the last 8 40s in the store. Nothing for them though.

That 7-11 experience was the most Florida **** I have ever seen first hand.

I lived in Lakeland when Charley came thru (and Florence and Jeanne). We prepared pretty well for all 3. Surprisingly, the only time we lost power was during Jeanne. Jeanne was the only one of the 3 that was a direct hit on Lakeland. To prep, I had lowered the water level of my pool 18inches, but it wasn't enough and it overflowed anyway. I had gotten sandbags and put them between the pool and the house which turned out to be a very good thing. My gf and I were using trashcans to bail water out of the pool during the time the eye went over. The pool wasn't an issue with Charley or Florence because we had power and I was able to run the pump. Without power, I had to rely on gravity to drain the pool and it was just too slow to keep up with all the rain she was dumping. We managed to get the water level dropped about 6 inches when the back side hit. Fortunately, there wasn't that much rain on the back side so it didn't overflow again. The gf moved back to Maine 2 months later. :lol:
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