2018 Storm Watch

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:33 am

Mountaineer Buc wrote:My prevailing winds are going to be out of the north. Could see a 125mph gust today.

The shingle pattern and ridge cap on my roof are set for a prevailing wind out of the south.

Dammit. I'm gonna have roof damage.



Quit your yapping and get out there and rotate your house.

Seriously, though, be safe. Like everyone has said, at least its compact and a fast mover at this point. It's the sustained pounding that really tears things up. (ooca) Hopefully you're just looking at shingle problems, and leave it at that.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:39 am

Andrew was compact and a fast mover as well.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:45 am

MB (et al)

AirBNB has opened houses for anyone who needs.
Uhaul is providing storage for free (most likely would use post storm).

Ya'll be safe ..
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:49 am

Buc2 wrote:Andrew was compact and a fast mover as well.



Yeah, and so was Charlie, etc. But in an "all things being equal" setting, get it the heck out of there. Even if unequal, 12 hours of 130 mph is better than 36 hours of 110 (admittedly random bullshit numbers), especially when you add in the driven rain component.


Regardless, when you're down to talking about the relative degrees of suck, it ain't good.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:30 am

The extremely dangerous Michael is expected to make landfall in Panama City
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:34 am

Kress wrote:
Buc2 wrote:Andrew was compact and a fast mover as well.



Yeah, and so was Charlie, etc. But in an "all things being equal" setting, get it the heck out of there. Even if unequal, 12 hours of 130 mph is better than 36 hours of 110 (admittedly random bullshit numbers), especially when you add in the driven rain component.


Regardless, when you're down to talking about the relative degrees of suck, it ain't good.

True that.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:51 am

Get ready, Panama City, you'll be the first to feel Michael's historic landfall
From CNN's Ray Sanchez and AJ Willingham
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:53 am

MB and the rest of you ***holes up there in the panhandle. Be safe!!
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby The Outsider » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

**** even I thought I was being a little hyperbolic saying it could be damn near a Cat 4 a couple days ago. Now it's damn near a Cat 5.

Been one hell of a crazy hurricane season.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:43 am

This is unbelievable. We weren't even sure 2.5 days ago if Michael was going to even be able to reach Cat 1 force because of the shear. Hell, 12 hours ago this thing didn't even have a closed eyewall.

Now....a 150 MPH hurricane is about to hit Florida. This is going to be the strongest storm ever to hit the panhandle...hell, the strongest storm to hit Florida since Andrew. And they only got 3 days to prepare. :|
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:49 am

I think that is what makes this so much worse.

The panhandle's strongest storm ever is a CAT 2, this is CAT 4+.

Many bridges are now closed, and even forces the hand of last minute thoughts.

St George's island doesn't stand a chance, and I have seen some pretty good data that says the ENTIRE ISLAND may be underwater before this storm is done.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby SixStringSamurai » Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:25 am

Starting to get a little windy...should be seeing the best of this hurricane in about an hour and a half.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:27 am

Michael is still getting stronger. Pressure has now dropped to 918(That's Irma level). That's stronger than Andrew or Katrina when they hit. Lightning is still exploding in the eyewall(Indication of intensification). Scary to think but Michael might be trying to make one final push to Cat 5.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Jason Bourne » Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:37 am

Nano wrote:Michael is still getting stronger. Pressure has now dropped to 918(That's Irma level). That's stronger than Andrew or Katrina when they hit. Lightning is still exploding in the eyewall(Indication of intensification). Scary to think but Michael might be trying to make one final push to Cat 5.



its not gonna be pretty there, I dont understand the people who stayed out on the barrier islands...could be awhile without any power or water if they survive.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Mountaineer Buc » Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:39 am

The more it jogs to the east, the easier it gets for me.

I might not lose power.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:53 am

The eye wall is now onshore.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:20 pm

Hurricane Michael has made landfall at 150MPH and a 918MB pressure. By numbers, this is the 3rd strongest to hit the CONUS.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:32 pm

Current views of Michael from ISS...

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https://www.facebook.com/ABCNews/videos ... 870937481/
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:40 pm

Official landfall intensity was bumped up to 155MPH.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:42 pm

Just saw on Weather Channel that Tyndall Air Force is in the wall now.

They have measured pressure at 930 which is REALLY low.
Winds are ~155

157 is Cat 5
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:15 pm

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Nature can be both devasting and beautiful....scary yet calming. In a way, this storm may be a bit of an eye-opener. We were told to expect a quiet season, and after last year we let down our guards. Here's hoping that the people clinging together in these scary times can recover.


Edit: On a side note, I don't know what is up with imgur lately, but it can stop lol. Don't know if they've changed the way they load images or we have but this like the 5th image that goes spinning wheel of death on me. It always loads instantly in the preview
Last edited by Nano on Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby uscbucsfan » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:19 pm

Nano wrote:Nature can be both devasting and beautiful....scary yet calming. In a way, this storm may be a bit of an eye-opener. We were told to expect a quiet season, and after last year we let down our guards. Here's hoping that the people clinging together in these scary times can recover.

Haven't there only been 2 storms to hit this year? I know this one is big, but Florence was a 1 when it hit. Last year there were a ton of storms I feel. I'd have to check.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:23 pm

Alberto and Gordon hit around the same area as Michael but were nowhere near as powerful. Beyond that, there hasn't been that many impacts. However, it only takes one to define a season. This season's ACE score might not be as high because many of the stronger storms didn't last at peak intensity as long.

Then again, Leslie may be trying to inflate the score considering she doesn't want to die. lol
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:30 pm

Looks like Michael is entering Georgia at 125MPH. This is the first major they've gotten since....the 1800s.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:57 pm

Hurricane Michael is now the first Category 3 storm to track into Georgia since the 1800s.

Since moving into Georgia, the storm's strength has weakened and now has wind speeds of 115 mph.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:24 pm

Michael is down to a Cat 1. Shows severe decay across the system and will likely become a TS by tonight. The images coming in from Mexico Beach are terrible.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Jason Bourne » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:53 pm

Total devastation along the beaches , amazing only 1death so far
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby mdb1958 » Thu Oct 11, 2018 4:13 am

Nano wrote:Michael is down to a Cat 1. Shows severe decay across the system and will likely become a TS by tonight. The images coming in from Mexico Beach are terrible.



What does Port St Joe and the peninsula look like?
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Thu Oct 11, 2018 7:04 am

mdb1958 wrote:
Nano wrote:Michael is down to a Cat 1. Shows severe decay across the system and will likely become a TS by tonight. The images coming in from Mexico Beach are terrible.



What does Port St Joe and the peninsula look like?

Here...
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Deuce » Thu Oct 11, 2018 7:18 am

My street was untouched and my neighborhood didn't lose power. We have underground utilities, though. I drove around a little last night and it seems I got really lucky. There are a lot of downed trees everywhere. A lot of road closures and people without power inn Tallahassee this morning.
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