2018 Storm Watch

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2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Thu May 24, 2018 7:51 am

NHC has issued a Special Tropical Weather Outlook for the Atlantic basin as of 7:40 a.m. EDT on this Thursday morning...

A broad stationary surface low pressure system is centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula and is gradually becoming better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula.

Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local NWS weather forecast office - www.weather.gov

The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by NHC by 2 p.m. EDT this afternoon - www.hurricanes.gov


It's going to be a wet Memorial Day weekend in Florida
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Stuart » Thu May 24, 2018 8:16 am

damn, and I'm heading to Tampa for the long weekend. Better bring my Ps4, think my pops needs a beatin on nascar game.....
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Thu May 24, 2018 11:15 am

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Fri May 25, 2018 9:48 am

Well hello Alberto

Subtropical Storm Alberto is the first storm of the Atlantic season, which doesn't officially start for another week. Alberto is sitting east of the Yucatan Peninsula and is expected to move north into the Gulf of Mexico, where conditions are favorable for further development.

Forecast models have come to better agreement on the storm's track, eventually bringing it ashore on the northern Gulf Coast, then across the southeastern U.S. But with most of the convection on the east side of the storm, heavy rain is expected to fall across Florida.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Grim Reaper » Fri May 25, 2018 12:46 pm

(Sub)Tropical Storm Alberto?

That's so -

a. 1988
b. 1994
c. 2006
d. 2012...
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Fri May 25, 2018 4:41 pm

Welcome all, the season starts early lol. Before we get too buried, I want to post a couple links and stuff that could be of use during this storm season.

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NOAA Hurricane Center: Latest current information about storms

r/TropicalWeather: Good place to discuss anything that happens this season, and any questions that you have during it. There are current and former meteorologists that visit the sub to answer in-depth questions, and most of the regulars are knowledgeable enough to answer questions/discussions too. Just...don't ask about your travel plans lol

TropicalTidbits: Good for maps and info about the current storms around the world. You can view different model runs

Spaghetti Models: Basically a big comp of maps and radars from many different sites


Couple of good people to follow on twitter

Levi Cowan
Ryan Maue
Crankywxguy
Jim Cantore
Jeff Piotrowski
NWS




And without further ado, here's SubTropical Storm Alberto

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed May 30, 2018 7:41 am

Hmmm...Alberto finally became tropical and then got stronger...while over land. Curious storm
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Mountaineer Buc » Wed May 30, 2018 9:43 am

Nano wrote:Hmmm...Alberto finally became tropical and then got stronger...while over land. Curious storm

I ended up with 4.5 inches of rain.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Wed May 30, 2018 10:19 am

Interstate Batteries forgot to put bleach on their checklist?
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Thu May 31, 2018 8:47 am

Alberto has reached Canada
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Deuce » Thu May 31, 2018 9:39 am

Nano wrote:Alberto has reached Canada


Illegal immigration has reached its tipping point.
Last edited by Deuce on Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Thu Jul 05, 2018 4:44 pm

Round 2

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Will likely have a very short lifespan as the wind shear over the Lesser Antilles is strong. That's technically the 5 day track
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Thu Jul 05, 2018 7:14 pm

Still .... Tiz the season .. and I am in the middle of the lower world for two weeks ... Geesh I hope I stays calm
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Fri Jul 06, 2018 4:44 pm

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Lets add a 2nd storm for good measure. NHC projects it to become Hurricane Chris
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Kress » Mon Jul 09, 2018 2:05 pm

Has anybody looked at Super Typhoon Maria, bearing down on Japan? Great googly moogly.

In meteorological parlance, a tropical system undergoes "rapid intensification" when its winds increase 35 mph in a 24-hour period. On Thursday, Maria was just a tropical storm with winds around 70 mph. But from Thursday to Friday, the storm exploded. Warm waters and calm upper levels winds allow the storm to blow up to a Category 5 monster with estimated 174 mph winds in 24 hours - - a 104 mph increase.

The storm weakened a bit over the course of Friday and into Saturday before picking steam again on Sunday and reaching Category 5 status for the second time in its lifespan. It has continued to hold sustained Category 5 winds of 160 mph.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:26 pm

That's a badass storm.

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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Tue Aug 07, 2018 3:29 pm

Subtropical Storm Debby has formed...for all of 24 hours likely
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Aug 08, 2018 6:51 am

It has been a fairly quiet hurricane season to this point. Let's hope it remains that way.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby bucfanclw » Wed Aug 08, 2018 7:30 am

Buc2 wrote:It has been a fairly quiet hurricane season to this point. Let's hope it remains that way.

You're the guy that starts yelling to the pitcher that he has a perfect game going, aren't you?
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Aug 08, 2018 8:22 am

:lol:

Oops. Let's hope I didn't jinx it.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:37 pm

Buc2 wrote:It has been a fairly quiet hurricane season to this point. Let's hope it remains that way.

For some reason, the eastern Atlantic has had unseasonably cold SSTs this year. Also, the heavy wind shear is tearing anything that tries to form apart. Season could start to pick up soon as the MJO(which has been helping spark all the activity in the Pacific) slowly moves into the Atlantic and as the MDR continues to warm.
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:40 pm

We now have a Subtropical Storm Ernesto. Formed in a similar area to Debby
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Re: 2018 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:49 pm

Really strange storm year, where they are forming upper Atlantic Ocean



that said .. I'm glad .. I don't need the tropics to be what they were last year with me out of the country.
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