2017 Storm Watch

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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Sat Sep 16, 2017 7:51 pm

Maria didn't even wait til next week lol

It's a really fast storm though...models have it near the US by next Sunday. Could interact with Jose
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Selmon Rules » Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:19 pm

Nano wrote:Maria didn't even wait til next week lol

It's a really fast storm though...models have it near the US by next Sunday. Could interact with Jose

Good, maybe they'll both get laid and go away....
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:25 am

Trustworthy projections take Maria away from Florida, and towrds East coast of US as a 3.

watch if you are above Charleston, SC
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:51 am

Crocaneers wrote:Trustworthy projections take Maria away from Florida, and towrds East coast of US as a 3.

watch if you are above Charleston, SC


Hurricane MARIA
As of 12:00 UTC Sep 18, 2017:

Location: 14.5°N 59.7°W
Maximum Winds: 100 kt Gusts: 120 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 967 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 10 NM
Eye Diameter: N/A


Different models, different results (12z model is in for GEPS but not GEFS).

Per GEFS (12z model not available yet):
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Per GEPS:
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Current cone:
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:01 pm

Hurricane Maria now a category 5 storm
Last edited by Phantom Phenom on Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:04 pm

Hurricane Maria is now category 5 with 160mph winds. Fastest cat 5 since Patricia in 2015 iirc


Let's hope it doesn't get as strong
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:19 pm

This storm dropped from 955 to 925 MB in the span of like 3 hours. Not even Irma was that quick
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Phantom Phenom » Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:51 pm

Hurricane Maria packs a Category 5 punch toward Dominica.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 8:01 am

Both GEFS and GEPS models still favoring a turn to the north and missing the U.S. mainland.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 1:16 pm

Hurricane Maria Does ‘Mind Boggling’ Damage to Dominica, Leader Says
By KIRK SEMPLE and AUSTIN RAMZYSEPT. 19, 2017

MEXICO CITY — The Caribbean island nation of Dominica sustained “mind boggling” damage from Hurricane Maria, its prime minister said Tuesday, after the storm hit with maximum sustained winds of nearly 160 miles per hour that ripped roofs off buildings, including his own home.

There was no immediate word of deaths or injuries on the island from the storm, the third in a string of devastating hurricanes to sweep through the region in recent weeks.

The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday morning that Maria, now moving away from Dominica, had regained Category 5 strength, after briefly dropping to Category 4. The “potentially catastrophic” storm is expected to approach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Wednesday, the center said.

Roosevelt Skerrit, Dominica’s prime minister, wrote on Facebook on Tuesday that the island, where 72,000 people live, had experienced “widespread devastation,” based on initial reports.

“So far we have lost all what money can buy and replace,” he said. “My greatest fear for the morning is that we will wake to news of serious physical injury and possible deaths as a result of likely landslides triggered by persistent rains.”


Mr. Skerrit said that “the winds have swept away the roofs of almost every person I have spoken to or otherwise made contact with.” On Monday night, he said, he had to be rescued after the storm tore the roof off his official residence.


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Looking at this video loop, it looks like Puerto Rico is going to take a direct hit.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Nano » Tue Sep 19, 2017 5:47 pm

Holy ****...

909 mb pressure which puts it in the top 10 all time. Hunters found 177+MPH winds....and that's not even in the strongest quadrant. This could be a 185, potentially 190, storm right now.


And it's STILL intensifying!
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Corsair » Tue Sep 19, 2017 5:54 pm

If only there was some sort of SCIENCE that would help us understand why these storms are behaving this way.

Oh well, I guess we will never know. I'm sure it's nothing.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Selmon Rules » Tue Sep 19, 2017 9:36 pm

Corsair wrote:If only there was some sort of SCIENCE that would help us understand why these storms are behaving this way.

Oh well, I guess we will never know. I'm sure it's nothing.

Not like these kinds of things have never happened before....

Not one of the nuts that believe man and our emissions have no impact on the envoronment but there have been hurricanes developing in the Atlantic for centuries. The earth has gone through hundreds of changes in its climate and while we haven't helped it in the past 100 years, blaming the recent hurricanes on it seems a bit much....
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Corsair » Tue Sep 19, 2017 10:41 pm

Hurricanes have been formed in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf for thousands of years.

But warmer waters mean stronger/faster developing storms.

We should probably just ignore it.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Alpha » Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:11 am

Nano wrote:Holy ****...

909 mb pressure which puts it in the top 10 all time. Hunters found 177+MPH winds....and that's not even in the strongest quadrant. This could be a 185, potentially 190, storm right now.


And it's STILL intensifying!



It's moving at 10 mph. That is NOT a fast mover.

I have a home on St. Croix and lived there for several years.

This is gonna be bad...I haven't heard any news in 9+hours. The radio station is down.

Hugo in 1989 stalled over STX and ruined the island for years. In many ways, it still hasn't recovered.

I have friends there. Many of whom will be without power for MONTHS. The couple renting my house, survived Hugo and they were without power for 9 MONTHS. I live in St. Petersburg, FL and Irma knocked out my power for 5 DAYS. 5 DAYS and people here were acting like it was a re-make of "The Purge". Imagine no power for MONTHS.

Say a prayer for those people. They're gonna need all of them.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Alpha » Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:15 am

And Walt "Clyde" Frazier (NBA HoF'er) is a resident of St. Croix. He recently wrote a short article about living there after Hurricane Hugo.

Find it and read some real ****.

The worst I went through was a Cat 3 in 2010 or so. If you've never had the pleasure of living through one...well...I recommend you don't.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby RedLeader » Wed Sep 20, 2017 2:14 am

Corsair wrote:Hurricanes have been formed in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf for thousands of years.

But warmer waters mean stronger/faster developing storms.

We should probably just ignore it.


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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Wed Sep 20, 2017 7:49 am

Selmon Rules wrote:
Corsair wrote:If only there was some sort of SCIENCE that would help us understand why these storms are behaving this way.

Oh well, I guess we will never know. I'm sure it's nothing.

Not like these kinds of things have never happened before....

Not one of the nuts that believe man and our emissions have no impact on the envoronment but there have been hurricanes developing in the Atlantic for centuries. The earth has gone through hundreds of changes in its climate and while we haven't helped it in the past 100 years, blaming the recent hurricanes on it seems a bit much....

I think we can certainly blame the intensity on the recent hurricanes on it. They are so intense because of the water temperature which is undoubtedly higher due to climate change....the same reason coral reefs are bleaching/dying all around the world.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 20, 2017 7:55 am

If only we had a climate change thread to argue about this in.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Deuce » Wed Sep 20, 2017 8:34 am

This is why we have a politics forum now. Corsair, please keep your liberal bullshit in there. Thanks.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Crocaneers » Wed Sep 20, 2017 9:29 am

Also .. I just saw the Change.org on getting lineman "First Response" status .. is that even a question?

https://www.change.org/p/first-responde ... %3Acontrol
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby beardmcdoug » Wed Sep 20, 2017 10:04 am

Deuce wrote:This is why we have a politics forum now. Corsair, please keep your liberal bullshit in there. Thanks.


There's nothing "liberal" about science - if you think science is a "liberal" thing, then you've taken the bait. Science is about discovering objective truth through the rigorous testing of hypotheses using rigid standards of widely-accepted methodologies. It is about understanding and explaining our world so that we can do the single-most prominent thing that separates our species from the rest on this planet - and that is, plan for the future
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Wed Sep 20, 2017 11:34 am

beardmcdoug wrote:
Deuce wrote:This is why we have a politics forum now. Corsair, please keep your liberal bullshit in there. Thanks.


There's nothing "liberal" about science - if you think science is a "liberal" thing, then you've taken the bait. Science is about discovering objective truth through the rigorous testing of hypotheses using rigid standards of widely-accepted methodologies. It is about understanding and explaining our world so that we can do the single-most prominent thing that separates our species from the rest on this planet - and that is, plan for the future

^^^This. Science is pretty much the opposite of politics.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 20, 2017 11:46 am

deltbucs wrote:
beardmcdoug wrote:
There's nothing "liberal" about science - if you think science is a "liberal" thing, then you've taken the bait. Science is about discovering objective truth through the rigorous testing of hypotheses using rigid standards of widely-accepted methodologies. It is about understanding and explaining our world so that we can do the single-most prominent thing that separates our species from the rest on this planet - and that is, plan for the future

^^^This. Science is pretty much the opposite of politics.

If you believe science is never influenced by politics, you're every bit as gullible as the people you enjoy making fun of on here.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby RedLeader » Wed Sep 20, 2017 11:53 am

Politics and science have gone hand in hand since before the dark ages.

And make no mistake, Corsair is politicking.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Wed Sep 20, 2017 12:45 pm

Buc2 wrote:
deltbucs wrote:^^^This. Science is pretty much the opposite of politics.

If you believe science is never influenced by politics, you're every bit as gullible as the people you enjoy making fun of on here.

If it is influenced by politics, that's not that really science.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Buc2 » Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:13 pm

deltbucs wrote:
Buc2 wrote:If you believe science is never influenced by politics, you're every bit as gullible as the people you enjoy making fun of on here.

If it is influenced by politics, that's not that really science.

RedLeader wrote:Politics and science have gone hand in hand since before the dark ages.

And make no mistake, Corsair is politicking.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby deltbucs » Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:32 pm

Buc2 wrote:
deltbucs wrote:If it is influenced by politics, that's not that really science.

RedLeader wrote:Politics and science have gone hand in hand since before the dark ages.

And make no mistake, Corsair is politicking.

So you think science is always influenced by politics?
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby Corsair » Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:42 pm

Buc2 wrote:If only we had a climate change thread to argue about this in.


Deuce wrote:This is why we have a politics forum now. Corsair, please keep your liberal bullshit in there. Thanks.


Corsair wrote:We should probably just ignore it.
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Re: 2017 Storm Watch

Postby DreadNaught » Wed Sep 20, 2017 2:02 pm

NO ideology owns the patent on science. Science and ideological beliefs don't mix
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